How Chinese Stocks Affect Other Capital Markets

I received a great question from a trader the other day about the impact that international equity markets have on the US equity market and the forex. The answer depends on the equity market in question. Developed economies like the Eurozone or the UK will typically correlate on a day to day basis with US equities but developing economy's equity markets have a life of their own. They are typically very volatile and subject to fairly large price shocks. The Chinese equity market is a classic example of this kind of situation.

  forex trading

The Chinese equity market can be monitored through a variety of indexes but I find it most convenient to use an ETF like GXC managed by S&P that can be brought up in any charting package and represents a broad cross-section of Chinese companies. In the video I will walk through the impact that price shocks on GXC have on other markets including the USD/JPY. In many ways the affects of this market on the forex are similar to US equity markets but because Chinese equities are much higher risk they can be early warning of weakness in the trend. When looked at from this perspective, I would conclude that the trend on the USD/JPY may be in danger in the intermediate term. That doesn't necessarily mean USD/JPY shorts are a good idea but it does mean that additional risk control is appropriate.   

 

 Are you an equity trader? If so, do you venture into international markets? This has been a rough year for that kind of investing but long term it is a good way to diversify some market risk. What are your thoughts?

Video originally featured at www.pfxglobal.com

 

 

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3.25 Copyright (C) 2007 Alain Georgette / Copyright (C) 2006 Frantisek Hliva. All rights reserved."

 

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