Economy Chokes as Banks Hoard Cash

 
 
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by S. Wade Hansen

Banks are Hoarding...Money isn't Flowing

The Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury are pumping billions and billions of dollars into the financial system to try and ease the credit crisis. Unfortunately, there's a little hiccup in the system---banks aren't pushing the money through the system by lending it out. Economy Chokes as Banks Hoard Cash

When banks won't lend out the money they have been given, there is no way for that money to multiply in the fractional-reserve banking system. And if the money doesn't multiply in the fractional-reserve banking system, there is simply not enough money to pull us out of this recession. [Learn more about How the Fractional-Reserve Banking System is Affecting the Credit Crisis]

After all, if businesses and consumers can't get access to money via credit, they can't spend it.

 
The Multiplier Effect of Money

The fractional-reserve banking system allows money to multiply on top of itself. Here's how it works:

When banks receive money on deposit, they are only required to keep 10 percent of that money on reserve. They are free to lend the other 90 percent out to other individuals and institutions.

So if someone deposits $10,000 at a bank, the bank is then able to take that $10,000 and lend $9,000 ($10,000 x 0.9 = $9,000) of it out to someone else while keeping $1,000 ($10,000 x 0.1 = $1,000) of it on reserve.

In essence, the bank magically turns $10,000 into $19,000---thanks to the fractional-reserve banking system.

Banks are Hoarding

The fractional-reserve banking system only works if banks are lending money. If deposits are coming in but loans aren't going out, the money supply can't grow---which is exactly what is happening.

According to the Federal Reserve, banks are hoarding cash. As you can see in this chart, banks currently have nearly $800 billion in excess reserves when they had virtually $0 in excess reserves at the beginning of 2008.

Excess Reserves of Depository Institutions

The Money Multiplier is Crashing

The excessive bank hoarding is choking the monetary system. As you can see in this chart, the monetary system had a healthy multiplier effect of approximately 1.6 (160 percent) at the beginning of 2008. However, the multiplier effect actually dropped below 1.0 (100 percent) at the beginning of 2009. This means the monetary base was actually contracting.

M1 Money Multiplier

The Cold Hard Truth

Until banks stop hoarding cash and money is able to multiply in the marketplace once again, the economy will continue to stagnate.

Keep you eye on these indicators for signs of recovery.


Comments Add New
John  - Sounds like a ponzi scheme   |2009-03-04 07:59:05
If the banks are not lending the money then the only way they can pay the costs
of running the bank is directly from investor funds. I may be mistaken but I
recall another Wall Street "Guru" currently facing fraud charges in
America for using investor funds to pay those same investors their returns and
living the high life at the same time.
zach  - frs   |2009-03-04 12:12:49
The way you explain it, it sounds like your saying the bank uses that person's
9,000. Subconsciously we all know the bank doesn't use our money. If you go in
for your 10k, they will give it to you.

What they do is conjure into
existence 9000 fictional dollars against collateral of the lender and they can
do that with only 1000. With 10K they could create 90K. As well, when that
9000 makes it back to any bank (since they're a closed loop system) it gets
multiplied again and that initial 1K can become 100k and the 10k into
1m.

Institutions will not start lending again and the economy will not get
better until home prices stabilize.
Jay  - yes and no   |2009-03-04 19:00:31
John- the difference is that bank are (hopefully) doing this as a short term
strategy to survive and preserve their capital so they have funds to lend and
invest when (if) the economy recovers. Madoff just never invested the funds, nor
really had any intention of doing so.

Also it it not a truly closed system...
you can actually pull "physical" (paper) dollars out, but for large
amounts nobody wants to, so basically it is, and so the muliplier can be around
100x for 10% (in theory).
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3.25 Copyright (C) 2007 Alain Georgette / Copyright (C) 2006 Frantisek Hliva. All rights reserved."

 

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