The New Anti-hedging Rules

 
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by John Jagerson

The NFA (National Futures Association) proposed a rule change to the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) last year that was approved and will begin applying to forex dealers in the U.S. on May 15th 2009. There are two unrelated features in the rule change. The most controversial feature has to do with "hedging" or hedged forex positions. The second feature has more to do with the conditions that must be applied before a trader's position can be adjusted by a dealer. This article will discuss the changes and why they may not be such a bad thing.Hedging
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For more detail check out the second article in this series on the NFA's new hedging rules.

Anti-Hedging Rule
There are some unique trader behaviors in the spot forex market. Some order types exist here and nowhere else and some of the trading strategies and techniques that can be seen applied here are almost unknown in other capital markets.

Sometimes this is due to the nature of the most liquid and actively traded market in the world that presents unique opportunities to profit. However, often it is because the retail forex market has a larger percentage of first time active-traders than any other and there are plenty of other parties waiting to take advantage of these emerging investors.

The anti-hedging rule is supposed to address a confusing trading technique used by many inexperienced traders called hedging. Traditionally, hedging is what someone that owns a spot commodity will do to fix their price rather than suffering from unpredictable market movements in the future. For example, a corn producer may sell corn futures against their stock so that if the price of corn goes down they will have profits to offset their inventory losses.

The nature of a true hedge will eliminate the possibility of losses from price movement but it will also eliminate the ability to profit from favorable price movement. This is ideal for a commodity producer but serves no purpose for forex traders who are essentially speculators.

Despite its disadvantages, however, unscrupulous system sellers and dealers have marketed the ability to hedge your forex positions. That means that it is possible to hold long and short positions on the same currency pair at the same time even though they will clearly cancel each other out. Some traders do this as a replacement for stops or as a component of overly-complicated, spread and commission generating-systems or EAs.

A hedge like this only leads to losses. Rather than paying one spread to enter a trade, a hedger pays two spreads. Additionally, interest roll over will always be negative, which in the longer term could add up to significant losses if the trade is very leveraged.

Dealers told the NFA during the comment period that they did not know why anyone would want to hedge but that because customers were asking for it they provided the functionality. This behavior was definitely good for dealers and system or EA sellers who are paid based on the spread and are probably the parties generating the "demand" for hedging in the first place.

After May 15th a trader entering a short position on a currency pair they are already long will have their position closed or washed out. The same is true in reverse. If a trader was determined to continue hedging they could enter the contrary position within a different margin account but that adds another layer of complexity to an already impaired trade. While this is only a U.S. rule right now it is likely to be applied in the other major retail forex markets in the near term.

There are ways to legitimately "hedge" or fix risk in a forex trade while leaving the upside unlimited with options. Click here to start our free course on forex options.

Adjusting Trader Positions
In the past if there were "server errors" or other miscellaneous problems in the price feed from your dealer and your trade was filled at the wrong price the dealer could alter that position according to their terms of service. It is not a surprise that most trade adjustments were in favor of the dealer.

In the future, dealers will only be able to adjust a trade price in two circumstances.

1. The trade is adjusted in favor of the customer.
2. The dealer has a STP (Straight Through Processing) dealing model that has no human intervention and they were given a bad price by their liquidity provider. This means that if your STP dealer gets a bad price from their counterparty then the dealer can pass that adjustment through to you.

This pass-through can only be done if one of the dealer's principles sign off on the adjustment and provide documentation of their bad price to you. That does make it more difficult to adjust prices and could save a lot of traders a considerable amount of frustration. 

Some traders are reacting to the rule changes with an attitude that the NFA should but out of their business and others are more positive. Regulation is a sensitive subject as there are many rules that make no sense but these two changes do not seem to fall into that category. The spot forex has been the "wild west" of the trading world for too long and some increased maturity is needed.

Comments Add New
Nick  - Covered calls   |2009-04-28 11:24:25
Are covered calls and puts still fine as well as options hedge option positions.
John Jagerson  - Options   |2009-04-28 11:33:47
Yes covered calls and puts are still a great way to "hedge" or limit
risk. Applying those strategies is different because it is still possible to
profit. In the situation I described above it is mathematically impossible to
get a profit.
ian   |2009-04-28 21:01:49
hi, with regards to the anti hedging rule, quite often i will have say a short
position that may be lasting a few weeks, but at the same time taking long
positions on shorter time frames, trading retracements.Does this mean i can no
longer do this.What about if you are in a carry trade, does this mean that
basically that particular pair are off limits?

If this is the case i think
this is a real bad ruling, and the case of the interference for the sake of it.
Surely its up to the individual to be able to trade how they see fit!!!

Right
i'm off my soapbox now!!! - great website by the way, first time i've ever even
looked at options - really impressed. thanks
John Jagerson  - Ian   |2009-04-29 02:50:35
Yeah if you still want to do the long term short term thing you will need to do
it in two margin accounts. Personally, I still can't understand why anyone would
want to be long and short at the same time but if that is something that you
really want to do then you can with two accounts.
TRADETHEPIPS  - Totally agree   |2009-04-29 05:51:47
As you said so, some increased maturity is needed for us to trade in a more
advenced market. May this translate into a less volatile market? I ask. If
sentiment is long then market should be long or short if that is the feeling but
I think hedging produces contrarian movements in the market. Another aspect that
we should consider is if brokers made a big bunch of money from its clients
hadging they might start asking for extra commisions to us or another strange
kind of disguised charge to cover the less revenues??

Great articles as
usual, keep it up.
NY  - explanation why this is a very bad rool   |2009-04-29 08:23:24
the forex market as all, have a long term trends and shorts as well. lets say
that you believe that in the next few weeks the usd is going to get stronger, so
you are opening a Sell at the eurusd. now, you know that during this time there
will be a lot of small trends on the other direction. so you are making a short
small amount Buy orders and you are wining them to. lets not forget that a lot
of people (like me) are using a few strategies all together. maybe I want to
scalp in the night but live the long term position open? if you expect me to
close the open position every time before I want to make another trade in the
other direction, you would cause me to pay much more for the spreads.
the only
meaning of this 'not so smart' rule is that people like me would have to leave
all the American brokers to other brokers around the world which is quite
pitifully with the economical condition and all. one more thing, if you don't<...
John Jagerson  - NY's "Explanation"   |2009-04-29 09:07:47
I can see you are passionate about this subject so lets take a look at your
example.

You suggest that you could be short the EUR/USD in the long term but
you still want to scalp the EUR/USD during the trade's holding period both long
and short. You feel like you can't because that will wipe out your trade and
cost you an extra spread. This is misguided for two reasons.

1. You can
scalp it short because there is no hedging problem. This will be a non-issue for
you.

2. If you could scalp it long you would not only pay the spread but you
would not make any money! Why? The scalp's gains are offset by the short's
losses. Why not just stop and reverse your long term short position? Or just
exit it and wait to reenter long? You are still only paying one spread and you
could profit.

To help you out I have included a link to some additional
reading.

http://www.amazon.com/Everyday-Math-Du
mmies-Charles-Seiter/dp/15688...
NY  - answer   |2009-04-29 18:57:53
Hello and thanks for the quick respond.
what you are saying is trough in theory
but not practically. I will explain:
lets say that you are having a 65%
strategy that made you decide Short in long term.
you'r second strategy is a
intra day strategy that gives more or less 70%. now,as long as they both in the
same direction you don't need to do anything but you can also enlarge the amount
of trades in the same direction.
but what happens if you are having a different
signal? this case there are more than 50% that both are right! you will finish
today with the intra day signal and tomorrow you will win the second because the
t/p and s/l are very far from each other. another thing that could happened is
that you would loose one of them. this case you have decreased the lose or maybe
you are in a small profit. statistically more than 90% of the traders are
loosing. that means that it is not easy to predict the market... how woul...
John Jagerson  - Dude get some math help   |2009-04-30 01:53:21
Seriously - I can't argue this with you. If you short the EUR/USD against a long
EUR/USD position you will not make ANY MONEY!!!! How much more clear does it
have to be?

If you have one apple and you take one apple away how many
apples do you have?

By the way - Gain Capital (forex.com) is alive and well
in the U.S. I don't know what point you are trying to make but I would drop it.
NY  - the mail from gain capital...   |2009-04-30 02:45:58
"Dear Client:

We're committed to providing you with the tools you need
to execute your trading strategies. Beginning May 15, 2009, all MetaTrader
accounts will be serviced by FOREX.com UK Ltd. which is authorized and regulated
by the Financial Services Authority (FSA).

This change will allow us to
continue to support all MetaTrader accounts, including those customers who
currently use hedging as part of their trading strategy. As a FOREX.com UK
customer, you will still benefit from the same level of stability and superior
customer service you have come to expect."
John Jagerson  - Forex.com   |2009-04-30 02:58:23
In other words they are moving your account to their UK subsidiary not their
servers. I suppose I stand partially corrected - thanks for posting the email.
However, I have to say that this lowers my opinion of Gain considerably.
bufalo  - stop and reverse   |2009-04-30 23:52:21
Hi john, Thanks for ur article on hedging positions, it's really enlightening.

Pls, is it possible to manipulate an open position, that is, reversing an open
long position to a short position without first of all closing it,(and vise
versa) and not paying a new spread for that?
John Jagerson  - Stop and Reverse   |2009-05-01 02:19:17
Good question. No, if you want to reverse your current trade you would wash it
out thereby realizing the other half of it's spread and then putting on the new
short with a new spread.

If you wanted to match the spread cost and the
account impact of a hedge you would just exit the original position. That way it
equals out to be the same costs as the old hedging strategy.
mdcarlson144   |2009-05-04 03:10:43
Finally, somebody gets it and explains it in a way that others might finally get
through their heads...
mdc
Frank  - Math help for you John!   |2009-05-10 08:13:44
Hi John! Thanks for your article, I now understand more clearly why they wanted
to implement this new policy.
There is just one point I have to disagree with
you. You keep saying it's impossible to make any profit hedging and I agree if,
of course, you open and close both positions at the same time. That would be
useless and costly of course. But like NY and Ian wrote above, hedging can be
very lucrative when trading, particularly when scalping the market for a few
pips. I believe you must be a good trader yourself so I can't understand why you
don't see this point!?
I buy a 1.51, stop at 1.49 limit at 1.53. While this
trades works out, I sell at 1.52 and in a few minutes take profits at 1.51.. My
first long later closes at TP 1.53
This is just a simple example of course but
represents very well why I do daily!
Regards,
Frank
John Jagerson  - Math Help   |2009-05-11 03:01:30
Frank,

During the period you hold two positions you will have neither net
gain or loss. It doesn't matter if your exits and entries are at the same time.
It is the same as if you has partially exited the longer term position for the
same time period that you held your shorter term hedge.

The issue is that
"hedgers" increase their market exposure by adding the hedge rather than
just netting out the position and reducing their market exposure by closing all
or part of their longer term position. The effects on profitability are the
same.
Josh  - terrible rule.   |2009-05-14 09:55:44
This is ridiculous rule. If I want to hold long and short I should be able to.
And it really is common sense why you would want to buy and sell using different
time frames.

If you are long for a long term trade then whatever you do in
the same pair intraday has no effect on that trade because you will be in and
out quickly.

I can make money while the market gyrates up and down while
holding a long term position at the same time.

How more clear does it have to
be?

If you guys don't get it it's your loss. ;)

Forex was the last pure
capitalistic market and this restriction is just sad.
John Jagerson  - Not such a... "Terrible Rule"   |2009-05-14 10:02:23
Josh,

Check out the second article in this series and you will see that this
does not change your net results when you mix long and short term positions.
What it does is limit the dealer's ability to increase your market exposure and
charge you a potentially second roll over.
Jason  - Rise of the NFA - The Fall of Profits   |2009-05-15 08:33:20
The trades shown in this video and in the article example assume you will close
the original long position in loss while closing the short in profit. In which
case you're right, the math is the same. But if you open that long order because
all indications say the market is going long, and then shortly after it goes
short for a little while, you should be able to open a short position, ride that
for a while and close it in profit, but NOT close your long position just
because it went into a little drawdown, and then when the market moves back up
after that, allow the long position to close in profit as well. This way,
instead of netting -$105, you profit $100 ($50 long and $50 short). PLUS, if
after that short stops and reverses you open another Long, that could add
another $50-$100 to your profit. Not always does the market do what you expect
it to, but to chicken out and close your long order just because it's in a
little ...
Jason  - What the?   |2009-05-15 08:37:42
Why did the website only post part of my message? What a waste of time. I had
so much info to offer everyone. Oh well, I'll find a better site...
John Jagerson  - Rise of NFA   |2009-05-15 08:48:00
Jason,

The site has a limit on the number of words in a comment. However, I
would argue your point that you had anything to offer. You are doing your math
wrong. It doesn't matter when you close the long term position. Reducing the
size of that long term position over the same period as your short term
"hedged" trade is the same as a hedge. No matter how you slice it, the
effect is exactly the same.

Please feel free to find a better site...
Event Trading  - Hedging is a Sucker Play   |2009-05-17 17:45:38
Why is this so hard to understand? If you are long and short the same amount on
the same pair, you cannot profit, no matter how you cut it. You just gave an
additional spread/commission to your broker. Easy to understand why the brokers
like hedging. You're getting ripped off folks.
There is a way to truly hedge
currencies; this ain't it.
mark  - why cant people see ?   |2009-05-18 00:15:07
hedging is not a useless task, it gives you a bias of the market so that you can
kill the loser and allow the winner to continue on into profit, how is this a
stupid system ? many many times traders will get faked out and whipsawed back
and forth and by having the ablitly to sit through these periods until the propa
break takes place is a definate advance and I 100% disagree with this video.
Theirs less stress on the entry of your trade, at the end of the day, everyone
requires price to follow through to allow for a profit, doesnt matter how you
cut it, but by been on the rightside of the market, and killing the loser, you
stand a better chance that the market will continue. When do you kill the loser
? well thats not for me to say, but the idea that it caost you more etc is a
small price to pay to allow yourself to be on the right side of price action. if
you ask me, its becuase people were making money from this idea, and clea...
Keivan  - Hedging   |2009-05-18 05:54:01
They did so because many people makes money with it.
They did it before too,
Like prohibiting short Bank stocks earlier.
moremoney  - Non hedging is killing   |2009-05-21 11:05:29
I'll fully support traders with hedging style. And with what mark said, its
because people are making money using hedging style thats why the rule was made.
i cant see why a good trader would not make money using hedging method as long
you understand the market direction and where drawdowns is likely to happen
using common fibonacci retracement, channel and elliotwaves.
John Jagerson  - Hedging   |2009-05-21 11:12:55
The argument about hedging not being a wash is so irrational we can't argue with
it anymore but I am curious about the last few comments.

Why would the NFA
not want you to make money as a trader? That seems counter-intuitive. Why would
the NFA (who are supported by brokers who are in turn supported by traders) not
want investors to make money? What possible benefit would they get from you
losing money?
robert  - Hedging   |2009-06-06 05:51:47
Ps i remind you last learnings videos where you say hedging is essential ..
Is
patetchic to lesson to you..

Robert

Trades in the Forex Crosses
Playing
strengths against weaknesses is often what investing is all about. Recently we
published an article about the effectiveness of the hedging strategy used by
Southwest Airlines (LUV) in the energy market. That hedging activity has placed
LUV at an advantage versus their less prepared competitors. In the stock market
traders often look for this type of situation and spread two stocks in the same
industry like a currency pair. In this situation a stock trader would buy LUV
and short a stock like Delta Airlines (DAL). The assumption being that if the
market falls DAL will fall faster than LUV creating a profit. Similarly if the
market rises LUV should outpace DAL creating profits. Trading the stock market
like this is one way to try to minimize the risk concentrated in the air...
John Jagerson  - Hedging   |2009-06-06 06:42:04
Robert,

THe LUV/DAL example is like trading a standard forex cross. It is not
like simultaneously trading the EUR/USD long and short (forex hedging) at the
same time. If I were to hedge the stock trade in the same way a forex trader
hedges then I would be trading DAL long and short at the same time. Make sure
you check your facts before you call someone "patetchic."
plhfx  - Hedging   |2009-06-18 04:13:54
Whew, what a string! I don't do this sort of hedge trading, but I do use two
dealers, one for long forex options (I'm pretty risk averse) and the other for
an occasional spot trade. It seems to me that if traders really want to take
opposite positions on the same pair with different time frames, they can do it
simply by trading each strategy with a different dealer.
paul mcdonagh  - my sympathies   |2009-07-13 15:20:47
john, I must say that you are a very patient man. Great website, very
informative presentations, keep up the good work.
John Jagerson  - Sympathy   |2009-07-13 15:53:30
Paul,

Thanks for the comment. I know I come off a little "snarky" in
some of my comments so I appreciate what you said.

It will be interesting to
see what happens in the spot forex world as that market conforms with the rest
of the trading world that has been using FIFO for decades. I suspect the folks
that are really hurting the most are EA designers/sellers and dealers using the
MT4 trading platform. But I am sure both will survive in the long run.
andre  - NFA rule   |2009-07-15 22:04:56
Hello,

I used to think regarding hedging exactly the same way as you do John.
As I've acquired more experience I changed my mind. Hedging does have merit. The
benefit of hedging is 1. Administrative (that's with an A), 2. psychological, 3.
in automated systems and 4. in position management with very small account sizes
(smaller than the minimum open position allowed by the broker).

I will not
delve into each benefit here as that is not the purpose of this message - if
your personal truth is that hedging is useful, fine, if it is the opposite,
that's fine too.

What I wanted to point out is that the NFA did not go about
the issue in the correct way.

The NFA purports that the hedging rule is put
forth because of predatory brokers inducing cost to the trader for no apparent
benefit. If that is so, NFA's position is CORRECT. Their solution however,
banning hedging outright, is not.

The two cost generators in hedging ar...
andre  - NFA rule (cont.)   |2009-07-15 22:11:00
... lame msg limit ...

The two cost generators in hedging are:
1.
interests
2. extra spread

The interest issue is solved by requiring that the
interest is paid/received only on the NET position. Thus a perfectly hedged
position (zero net position) would incur zero costs.

The extra spread issue
is solved by requiring that the platform provides a way to cancel out opposing
trades at no cost. Most platforms that provide hedging already provide this
feature.

This way the decision whether to use hedging or not is up to the
individual trader, which is where it belongs.
andre  - NFA rule (cont.)   |2009-07-15 22:15:23
... lame msg limit REALLY ...

Now, regarding point 1 above: brokers might
argue that they don't want to have a gazillion perfectly hedged trades open in
their systems for eternity, tying up the resources. That is a technicality,
which has a technical solution: require that each open trade has at least one
related order attached to it (tp or sl or whatever). If it does not, the trade
can be cancelled out by opposing trades, garbage-collected by the server and
purged out of the system.
andre  - NFA rule (cont.)   |2009-07-15 22:27:04
Also, btw, the benefit of hedging in automated trading that I referred to above
has nothing to do with EA sellers collecting/increasing cost for the clients.
That goes doubly for MT4 since it provides for cancelling out opposing trades at
no cost.

EA sellers increase revenue by increasing trading frequency, using
hedging has nothing to do with it whatsoever.
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