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When a Defensive Stock Isn’t

  • Author: John Jagerson
  • Ticker: FE
  • Trade Opened: Jul 23, 2014

Investors usually consider Utilities, Consumer Staples, and Healthcare to be “defensive” sectors because these companies tend to outperform in the late stages of a mature business cycle. The companies tend to do better because their cash flow suffers less during an economic contraction. It is reasonable . . .

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Thinking Outside the Box

  • Author: John Jagerson
  • Ticker: PKG
  • Trade Opened: Jul 16, 2014

The paper and packaging business has been in a state of flux for several years now. Unfortunately for the major firms in this segment, a shift towards electronic records, e-commerce and lower protections from imports has all contributed to a decline of 17% in output from 2002 through 2012. Over the last . . .

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Plug Power’s Cord is Fraying

  • Author: John Jagerson
  • Ticker: plug
  • Trade Opened: Jul 9, 2014

Analyzing unprofitable stocks is difficult because almost everything is a guess. Technical analysis can help, but the trends of stocks that haven’t made money in a long time (or ever) tend to be unstable and much less reliable. However, there are some fundamental techniques that may help increase confidence . . .

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LL Shorts Can’t See the Forest For the Trees

  • Author: John Jagerson
  • Ticker: LL
  • Trade Opened: Jul 2, 2014

Lumber Liquidators (LL) was on an amazing run from 2007 through the end of 2013. The stock’s price rose from just over $8 per share to a high of nearly $120 in November 2013. However, there have been a few setbacks since and the stock is currently hovering near $75 per share.
The company’s troubles . . .

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Squeeze the Joy Out of the Market

  • Author: John Jagerson
  • Ticker: joy
  • Trade Opened: Jun 27, 2014

A short squeeze is a commonly misunderstood investing phenomenon where a heavily shorted stock rallies very quickly and then retraces. They can be difficult to predict, but they do happen from time to time and can be dramatic. There are common characteristics of short-squeezes that can be useful for . . .

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Can BlackBerry Turn it Around?

  • Author: John Jagerson
  • Ticker: bbry
  • Trade Opened: Jun 18, 2014

We have come around a little on Blackberry (BBRY) since the last time we wrote about the company. In August 2013, we recommended that traders short the stock on the rumor that it was going to be acquired or taken private. By December 2013 the stock had lost 50% of its value and seemed unlikely to recover, . . .

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