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Too much inventory: CROX

CROX is the company that makes those little plastic shoes that my kids used to wear when they were little. I will confess to trying them myself and they were quite comfortable but I felt too awkward to wear them. I think the company is setting up for the bearish leg of a dead cat bounce following earnings next week. There isn’t an exact date for earnings yet, but I am assuming it will be before next Friday so I am not too concerned about time-value. (more…)

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AMZN – Figuring Out Success in the Mobile-Driven Slow Growth Economy

by Ren Richardson, Learning Markets analyst

Amazon (AMZN) is trading at 99x earnings. On its face, this is jaw-dropping, even with the markets back to within 8% of their 2007 highs. Adding to the perplexity is the fact that consensus estimates for the third quarter have dropped to a loss of -$0.08, down from $0.13 several weeks ago. (AMZN reports on Thur, Oct. 25.) This would be AMZN’s first quarterly loss in over ten years. (more…)

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Risk/Reward Weekly Oct 12 Google Calls

Google has been on a strong run lately. I purchased some $800 Oct Monthly calls @ $3 per call and sold $7.50. The momentum of Google reminds me of Apple pre iPhone 5 release. They are going up for good reasons. They intelligently invest capital into innovative research (automated cars) and have a steady and growing business of analytics, ads, search, mobile OS, maps, e-mail, and storage. I am most excited about GOOG’s YouTube service. As of now, it is the easiest and most common way to play an individual song by an artist on a web-based platform (until Spotify becomes the go-to method). (more…)

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Long option call on HOV

Alright – - this one seemed easy. Too easy. The home building market is clearly coming back. 15 months from now there is no way on God’s green earth that HOV won’t be over five bucks. It’s already at four. So I bought 15 contracts for that call on Friday but I am thinking of adding more. (more…)

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Going Long the Japanese Yen – FXY

For a while I thought the Bank of Japan might intervene more heavily and try to drive the yen down while they had some momentum to do so. However, I think the window of opportunity has passed and if anything gets sketchy tonight with the Chinese economic announcements and such we are likely to see a good pop in the value of the yen. (more…)

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