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Will Oil Prices (USO) drag down Chevron (CVX) with it?

Usually as the price of oil goes, so goes the price of Crude producers like Exxon Mobil and Chevron. As you can see from the chart below, over the last 30 days, Chevron has gone up in price, but USO has actually gone down. This is a bearish divergence for Chevron and one that makes for a good trading opportunity. (more…)

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COF – It’s In Your Wallet, Should It Be In Your Portfolio?

Back on January 17th Capital One Financial (COF) missed the consensus estimate from their Q4 earnings report and lowered their revenue guidance for FY 2013. Consequently, the stock has shed 18% thus far. As the market oscillates near its historic highs, this does not at first blush seem to make for a compelling buy. Financials in aggregate are up 8.5% YTD while COF, the 6th largest bank in the US, is down -12.3%. (more…)

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Long Anglogold Ashanti on rumors of labor negotiations

I see a positive divergence in Miners today, with Gold trading slightly off. I ran a screen on finviz looking for Gold miners with ROE 10% and above. Then sorted the list according to RSI to find the outperformers and the underperformers. If we want the largest possible return in a short period of time, playing the underperformers that are setting up well technically is the best chance for a high risk/reward play. I noticed the African miners (GFI, AU) to be the underperformers, and the US and Canadian miners to be outperformers. Africa is having some serious labor problems over fair pay, and GFI and AU have had to shut down some of the operations due to it. Well news came out this morning from the WSJ that the miners are going to begin talks next week to try and resolve the differences. So on that news, i think we have a tradeable bounce in AU that we could play. AU is at the center of the controversy since they’ve had the biggest impact so why not play the name that has had the biggest negative impact to date, hoping that some prospects for relief could interest investors in buying AU at these oversold levels. (more…)

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